Catholics in play in November
Via Mark Silk at Spiritual Politics, the AP reports that Catholic voters are evenly split between Obama and McCain:
Polls this month show the Illinois senator leading McCain among women, running even with him among Catholics and suburbanites and trailing him with people over age 65. Results vary by poll for those without college degrees. And though Obama trails decisively with a group that has shunned him against Clinton — whites who have not completed college — he's doing about the same with them as the past two Democratic presidential candidates.
The story doesn't point to any particular poll, but taking it at face value it suggests that the Catholic vote has staying power as one of the top storylines heading toward November. Place your bets!
Comments
My bet: The press will overhype the Catholic vote story, just like it usually does. As for the Catholic vote itself, it will go to the overall winner, by roughly the same margin as the overall vote--also just like it usually does. In other words, it will be either a bellwether or nonexistent, depending how you look at it.
Posted by: Steve Thorngate | May 28, 2008 03:58 PM